Agricultural Prices and Land Degradation in Koutiala, Mali: a Regional Simulation Model Based on Farmers’ Decision Rules

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To enhance sustainability of agricultural production and food supply, insight is required in the relevant agro-ecological and socio-economic processes at farm and regional level. In this chapter a modelling approach is presented that is suitable to provide a qualitative insight in the dynamics of agricultural development. The approach is used to develop a model of the Koutiala region in southern Mali that allows simulating the development of different farm types and their interactions. It is demonstrated how the model may help to identify discontinuities in agricultural development when conditions change, and how it may serve to explore effects of price policies on,for example, soil organic matter content.

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