Active surveillance of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinomas in Japan and other countries: a review

In 1993, active surveillance of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMCs) started in Kuma Hospital, Kobe, Japan. It has spread globally after the publishing of American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines. During our hospital's active surveillance program, few patients (8.0%) showed tumor size enlargement ≥3 mm or the new appearance of node metastasis (3.8%) at 10-year follow-up. Conversion surgery was recommended for patients with disease progression. To date, no patients showed significant recurrence or metastasis or died with thyroid carcinoma when patients underwent active surveillance or after surgery due to PTMC progression. Unlike clinical papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), elderly patients' PTMCs were less progressive compared to those of young and middle-aged patients, indicating that elderly patients are strong candidates for the active surveillance of their PTMC. Although young patients' PTMCs are the most progressive, >50% and >75% of patients in their 20s and 30s would avoid conversion surgical treatment in their lifetime, respectively (according to estimated lifetime probability), indicating that such young patients are still candidates for active surveillance. It can thus be concluded that active surveillance is appropriate to be first management for PTMCs, based on the accumulation of favorable outcomes of PTMC patients who have undergone active surveillance, as well as the lower incidences of unfavorable events and lower medical cost than immediate surgery.

BackgroundOvertreatment of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) has become a common concern. This study aimed to compare clinicopathological features between PTMC and papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and to explore whether surgery can confer significant survival benefits in all patients with PTC or PTMC.MethodsData of 145,951 patients with PTC registered in Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and 8,751 patients with PTC in our institution were retrospectively collected. Patients with tumors less than 10 mm in diameter were classified as PTMC cohort and the rest as PTC cohort. Clinicopathological features between PTMC and PTC were compared on the basis of SEER cohort and validated with institutional data. Survival analysis was conducted to explore the effect of surgery on the prognosis of patients. To minimize potential confounders and selection bias, we performed propensity score matching (PSM) analysis to match more comparable cohorts.ResultsCompared with PTC, PTMC exhibited the following characteristics: more common in women and whites, older age at diagnosis, lower proportion of follicular variants, intraglandular dissemination, extraglandular and capsular invasion, higher proportion of multifocality, fewer lymph node and distant metastases, and higher cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) (all p-value < 0.05). Regarding treatment, patients with PTMC received a lower proportion of radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and total thyroidectomy but a higher proportion of lobectomy and/or isthmectomy. There was no significant difference in CSS for patients with PTMC at stage T1N0M0 with or without surgery (P = 0.36).ConclusionGenerally, PTMC showed higher biological indolence than PTC, which meant a higher survival rate for patients in both OS and CSS. For patients with PTMC at staged T1N0M0, active surveillance (AS) may be a potentially feasible management strategy. However, the maintenance of good medical compliance and the management of psychological burden cannot be ignored for patients included in AS.

Active surveillance (AS) for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC), which was initiated at Kuma Hospital (Kobe, Japan) in 1993 and Cancer Institute Hospital (Tokyo) in 1995, is now gradually being adopted worldwide, and several prospective studies have described the favorable outcomes of PTMC patients who underwent AS. The most important factor predicting PTMC growth is young age, and PTMC enlargement in young patients may be affected by high serum levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone. This review notes that one patient showed lung metastasis after conversion surgery (CS) following AS, but there are no reports of patients dying of thyroid carcinoma during or after AS. Some PTMCs enlarge or show newly appeared metastatic nodes requiring CS, and findings on the postoperative prognosis and incidence of significant surgical complications (e.g., permanent vocal cord paralysis, hypoparathyroidism) do not differ significantly between patients who underwent CS after AS and those who underwent immediate surgery (IS). IS has been associated with significantly higher incidences of these complications compared to AS as the initial management. Several studies have examined the quality of life (QoL) of patients who underwent AS versus IS, and reported discrepant findings regarding various psychological conditions (including anxiety). Medical costs for AS and IS vary regionally, and in Japan, the 10-year total cost of IS was 4.1 times greater than that of AS in 2017. Taken together, the existing findings demonstrate that AS can be appropriate for the initial management of patients with PTMC.

The incidence of thyroid carcinoma has been increasing worldwide. This is interpreted as an increase in the incidental detection of papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMCs). However, mortality has not changed, suggesting overdiagnosis and overtreatment. Prospective clinical trials of active surveillance for low-risk PTMC (T1aN0M0) have been conducted in two Japanese institutions since the 1990s. Based on the favorable outcomes of these trials, active surveillance has been gradually adopted worldwide. A task force on the management of PTMC in adults organized by the Japan Thyroid Association therefore conducted a systematic review and has produced the present position paper based on the scientific evidence concerning active surveillance. This paper indicates evidence for the increased incidence of PTMC, favorable surgical outcomes for low-risk PTMC, recommended criteria for diagnosis using fine needle aspiration cytology, and evaluation of lymph node metastasis (LNM), extrathyroidal extension (ETE) and distant metastasis. Active surveillance has also been reported with a low incidence of disease progression and no subsequent recurrence or adverse events on survival if conversion surgery was performed at a slightly advanced stage. Active surveillance is a safe and valid strategy for PTMC, because it might preserve physical quality of life and reduce 10-year medical costs. However, some points should be noted when performing active surveillance. Immediate surgery is needed for PTMC showing high-risk features, such as clinical LNM, ETE or distant metastasis. Active surveillance should be performed under an appropriate medical team and should be continued for life.

Active surveillance (AS) can be considered as an alternative to immediate surgery in low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) without clinically apparent lymph nodes, gross extrathyroidal extension (ETE), and/or distant metastasis according to American Thyroid Association. However, in the past AS has been controversial, as evidence supporting AS in the management of PTMC was scarce. The most prominent of these controversies included, the limited accuracy and utility of ultrasound (US) in the detection of ETE, malignant lymph node involvement or the advent of novel lymph node malignancy during AS, and disease progression. We summarized publications and indicated: (1) US, performer-dependent, could not accurately diagnose gross ETE or malignant lymph node involvement in PTMC. However, the combination of computed tomography and US provided more accurate diagnostic performance, especially in terms of selection sensitivity. (2) Compared to immediate surgery patients, low-risk PTMC patients had a slightly higher rate of lymph node metastases (LNM), although the overall rate for both groups remained low. (3) Recent advances in the sensitivity and specificity of imaging and incorporation of diagnostic biomarkers have significantly improved confidence in the ability to differentiate indolent vs. aggressive PTMCs. Our paper reviewed current imagings and biomarkers with initial promise to help select AS candidates more safely and effectively. These challenges and prospects are important areas for future research to promote AS in PTMC.

The incidence of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) has increased over the past decade. The American Thyroid Association (ATA) suggests that these patients may undergo either thyroid lobectomy or active surveillance. It remains unclear whether there exists a subgroup of PTMC patients who may benefit from more aggressive treatment due to increased risk of recurrence. We retrospectively reviewed 357 patients with PTMC who underwent surgery at a single institution from 2004 to 2016. Patients were classified according to 2015 ATA risk stratification for structural disease recurrence. Demographic, oncologic, and clinicopathologic data were compared between groups. Out of 357 patients, 246 were classified as low-risk PTMC, 93 were intermediate-risk, and 18 were high-risk. There were more male patients in the high-risk group (38.9%) than the intermediate- (31.2%) or low-risk groups (15.4%) (p < 0.001). Patients with low-risk microcarcinomas were more likely to have an incidental PTMC when compared to intermediate- or high-risk groups (98[39.8%], 15[16.1%], 1[5.6%], respectively, p < 0.001). Patients with high-risk PTMCs, compared to those with intermediate- and low-risk PTMCs, were more likely to have rising postoperative thyroglobulin levels after total thyroidectomy (6[40.0%], 4[5.1%], 9[5.7%], respectively, p = 0.001) and structural recurrence after lobectomy or total thyroidectomy (3[16.7%], 0[0%], 0[0%], respectively, p < 0.001). The median follow-up time was 17.5 (IQR 3-55) months. Patients with high-risk PTMC have an increased risk of recurrence when compared to low- and intermediate-risk microcarcinomas, whereas intermediate-risk PTMC may behave similarly to low-risk tumors. ATA risk stratification may inform clinical decision making for patients with PTMC.

Although the outcomes of active surveillance (AS) for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) are generally excellent, some patients undergo conversion surgery for various reasons, including disease progression. We studied the outcomes of PTMC patients who underwent AS, who underwent conversion surgery after AS, and who underwent immediate surgery. Between 2005 and 2019, 4,635 patients were diagnosed with low-risk cT1aN0M0 PTMC at Kuma Hospital: 2,896 opted for AS (AS group) and 1,739 underwent immediate surgery (Surgery group). In the AS group, 242 patients underwent conversion surgery (Conversion group): 72 owing to disease progression (Conversion-prog group) and 170 for other reasons (Conversion-non-prog group). Of the 1,739 patients in the Surgery group, 1,625 had no high-risk features (Surgery-low-risk group). Locoregional recurrence (LRR) occurred in 9, 1, 1, and 0 patient in the Surgery-low-risk group, the Conversion-prog group, the AS group, and the Conversion-non-prog group, respectively. The LRR rate of the AS group was significantly lower than that of the Surgery-low-risk group (0.1% vs. 0.7% at 10 years, p = 0.006). Additionally, the LRR rate of the Conversion group (0.6% at 10 years, p = 0.741) and that of the Conversion-prog group (3.3% at 10 years, p = 0.103) did not significantly differ from the LRR of the Surgery-low-risk group. As the postoperative prognosis of patients with progressive PTMC who underwent conversion surgery did not significantly differ from that of patients who underwent immediate surgery, we think that AS may have resulted in efficient identification of the small proportion of patients with progressive PTMC that require surgical treatment.

Papillary thyroid carcinoma is the most common endocrine malignancy. Papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMCs) are tumors with a size of ≤1 cm. The biological behavior of these tumors differs due to the presence of their aggressive features. The prognosis of PTMCs with high-risk features, such as clinical node metastasis, distant metastasis, and significant extrathyroidal extension to the tracheal or recurrent laryngeal nerve invasion, is poor, even if a sufficient immediate surgery is performed at diagnosis. However, PTMCs without these aggressive features are low-risk tumors because of their indolent and slow growth behaviors. The increase in thyroid cancer incidence is mostly a result of overdiagnosis of small low-risk PTMCs with indolent clinical course. Despite the sudden increase in thyroid cancer incidence worldwide, cancer mortality did not increase. Although the traditional treatment strategy for PTMC is immediate surgery at diagnosis, because of the rather low disease-specific mortality rate, low recurrence rate, and potential risk for postoperative complications, active surveillance has been proposed recently as an alternative option for PTMCs without invasion, metastasis, or cytological or molecular characteristics. The recent data support that active surveillance of low-risk PTMC should be the initial treatment modality, because only a small percentage of low-risk PTMCs show signs of progression, and delayed surgery has not caused significant recurrence. However, recent management guidelines are shifting toward more conservative treatments, such as active surveillance. Although there is an increase in the number of studies related to active surveillance, prospective studies have been mostly from academic referral centers in Japan. The world still needs class 1 evidence extended prospective studies originating from different geographic regions. Active surveillance may be a good alternative to immediate surgery for appropriately selected patients with PTMC.

Objective: To investigate the rationality of management of active surveillance for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) and the main indications for active surveillance for PTMC. Methods: In this study, two criteria were used to evaluate patients with PTMC: low-risk PTMC conditions defined by Kuma hospital and Chinese Association of Thyroid Oncology (CATO) consensus on PTMC management of active surveillance. The patients had received surgical treatment. Clinicopathological characteristics and prognosis of the patients in different groups were compared. Results: A total of 778 patients were enrolled in the study, 565 (72.6%) of them met Kuma screening criteria and only 112 (14.4%) met CATO screening criteria. Kuma low-risk subgroup had lower incidence of cervical lymph node metastasis than Kuma high-risk PTMC subgroup(30.6% vs 47.9%, P<0.05). There were significant differences in multifocal lesions(6.3% vs 16.4%), extrathyroidal extension (1.8% vs 7.5%) and cervical lymph node metastasis(19.6% vs 38.0%) between low-risk and high-risk CATO PTMC subgroups. Patients in the CATO low-risk PTMC subgroup had lower recurrence and longer disease-free survival (DFS) than those in the CATO high-risk PTMC subgroup. But there was no significant difference in recurrence or DFS between Kuma low-risk and high-risk Kuma PTMC subgroups.The Chi-square test of Fisher's exact probabilities test was used to compare clinicopathological characteristics of patients between different groups.Rates of disease-free survival were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Conclusion: CATO screening criteria is relatively strict and may be more suitable for Chinese patients with active surveillance for PTMC.

The clinical significance of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) tumors < or =1 cm is widely debated. The objective of this study was to compare conventional papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) (tumors >1 cm) to PTMC and assess for differences in tumor characteristics and patient outcome. A retrospective chart review of patients with PTC or PTMC who were followed for a minimum of 3 years postoperatively and managed at a single academic institute was performed. Of 202 patients in the study, 66 (32.7%) had PTMC and 136 (67.3%) had conventional PTC. Patient and tumor characteristics including tumor multifocality, extrathyroidal extension, angiolymphatic invasion, and lymph node metastasis were similar between both groups. Twenty-one percent of the PTMC tumors were discovered incidentally. Patients with conventional PTC were significantly more likely to undergo treatment with radioactive iodine therapy compared to PTMC patients (86.4% vs. 66.7%, respectively, p < 0.003). Disease recurrence was observed in 40 patients and was not statistically different between the two groups; 11 (16.7%) in PTMC and 29 (21.3%) in conventional PTC, p = 0.57. Within the PTMC group, tumors of patients that recurred were significantly larger than those who remained disease free (8.1 mm vs. 6.4 mm, p < 0.05). None of the patients with incidental PTMC had disease recurrence. Angiolymphatic invasion was the only significant prognostic indicator of recurrence on multivariate analysis (p < 0.02). Nonincidental PTMC can have aggressive tumor features and disease recurrence similar to conventional PTC. These tumors should be managed like any other papillary thyroid malignancy.

Surgery alone for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma is less costly and more effective than long term active surveillance

Background: Two Japanese prospective trials of active surveillance (AS) for adult patients with low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) ≤1 cm (cT1aN0M0 PTMC) have verified the safety of AS in oncological control and its superiority over immediate surgery with respect to unfavorable outcomes. Thus, AS has been accepted as an alternative to immediate surgery for asymptomatic papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMCs). However, the real-world clinical approach for PTMC is unknown. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the current state of management of asymptomatic PTMCs in Japan.Methods: We conducted a questionnaire survey on the actual treatment patterns for adult patients with low-risk PTMCs. The subjects were member institutions of the Japan Association of Endocrine Surgery (JAES) or Japanese Society of Thyroid Surgery (JSTS), including the departments of surgery and head and neck surgery (HNS).Results: Responses were obtained from 134 institutes, where 72.4% of Japanese thyroid cancer cases operated by surgeons were treated. For suspicious tumors on ultrasound, 18 responders (13.4%) conducted cytological examination routinely, while 69 (51.5%) and 40 (27.8%) conducted it only for tumors >5 and >10 mm, respectively. After the diagnosis, 42 responders (31.3%) recommend AS, 35 (26.1%) recommend immediate surgery as the management, and 52 (38.8%) allowed patients to decide the treatment course. The present responders tended to recommend surgery for PTMCs that were located adjacent to the dorsal surface of the thyroid, were multiple, or measured almost 10 mm in size. At these institutions, 1176 patients with PTMC underwent surgery in 2017, accounting for 18.1% of surgeries for PTC. During the succeeding three months, 310 of 576 (53.8%) PTMC patients underwent AS. The treatment strategies did not differ between the departments (Surgery or HNS). The institutions that have six or more surgeons, that were located in metropolitan areas, or that were certified by JAES or JSTS performed AS more actively.Conclusion: More than 50% of low-risk PTMCs are on AS in Japan. However, the indication and recommendation for AS vary significantly between institutions. To improve the implementation of this management modality, physicians and patients should be further educated, and the sociomedical environment should be improved.

Background:Active surveillance (AS) for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) was initiated at Kuma Hospital in 1993 and has gradually spread worldwide. We previously demonstrated that AS is associated with a much lower incidence of unfavorable events than immediate surgery (IS). However, conversion surgery (CS) raises concerns about increased surgical complications due to advanced disease. In this study, we conducted a comparative analysis of unfavorable events after IS and CS.Methods:Between 2005 and 2019, 4635 patients clinically diagnosed with low-risk PTMC at Kuma Hospital were enrolled. Of these, 2896 underwent AS (AS group), and the remaining 1739 underwent IS (IS group). To date, 242 patients (8.4%) in the AS group have undergone CS for various reasons (CS group).Results:The incidence of unfavorable events, such as levothyroxine administration after surgery, postoperative hematoma, transient/persistent hypoparathyroidism, and transient/persistent vocal cord paralysis, did not differ between the CS and IS groups. None of the patients in the CS group had permanent vocal cord paralysis; however, this occurred in 15 patients (0.9%) in the IS group and was caused by accidental injury in 4 patients and carcinoma invasion in 11 patients. The incidence of surgery, levothyroxine administration, postoperative hematoma, transient/permanent hypoparathyroidism, and vocal cord paralysis was significantly higher (p < 0.001) in the IS group than in the AS group. There were no differences in the incidence of lymph node recurrence and overall mortality between the AS and IS groups. None of the patients in the AS and IS groups showed distant metastasis or died from thyroid carcinoma.Conclusions:There were no differences in the incidence of unfavorable events between the CS group and the IS group. Although none of the CS and AS groups had permanent vocal cord paralysis, accidental injury of the recurrent laryngeal nerve occurred in four patients (0.2%) in the IS group. The IS group had a significantly higher incidence of unfavorable events than the AS group. The prognoses of patients in both the AS and IS groups were excellent. Therefore, we recommend AS as the first-line management for low-risk PTMC.Correction added on February 20, 2023 after first online publication of November 9, 2022: In the Methods section of the abstract, 242 patients (0.8%) has been corrected to 242 patients (8.4%).

Background:It has been 30 years since the initiation of active surveillance (AS) for adult patients with low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). This study compared the long-term oncological outcomes of patients who underwent AS or immediate surgery (IS).Methods:This is a retrospective review of extended follow-up data from patients enrolled in a single-center, prospective observational study in Japan. In total, 5646 patients diagnosed with low-risk PTMC at Kuma Hospital between 1993 and 2019 were enrolled in this study. Of these, 3222 patients underwent AS (AS group), whereas 2424 underwent IS (IS group). The patients were followed up regularly, at least once per year. Descriptive outcome data were presented according to the treatment group.Results:In the AS group, 124 patients (3.8%) had tumor enlargement of ≥3 mm, and the 10- and 20-year enlargement rates were 4.7% and 6.6%, respectively. Novel lymph node metastases occurred in 27 patients (0.8%), and the 10- and 20-year nodal metastasis occurrence rates were 1.0% and 1.6%, respectively. In the IS group, 13 patients (0.5%) experienced lymph node recurrence postoperatively, and the 10- and 20-year nodal recurrence rates were 0.4% and 0.7%, respectively. Eighteen (1.4%) of the 1327 patients who underwent hemithyroidectomy experienced recurrence in the residual thyroid. The rate of lymph node metastasis was significantly higher in the AS group than in the IS group (1.1% vs. 0.4% and 1.7% vs. 0.7% at 10 and 20 years, respectively; p = 0.009), but the differences were small. However, the proportion of patients who underwent one or more and two or more surgeries was significantly higher in the IS group than in the AS group (100% vs. 12.3% and 1.07% vs. 0.09%, p < 0.01). Distant metastatic recurrence was observed in one patient after AS and conversion surgery and another after IS; however, they were alive (18.4 and 18.8 years after diagnosis, respectively). None of the patients in this study died of thyroid carcinoma.Conclusions:Long-term oncological outcomes of patients with PTMC generally did not differ clinically significantly between those undergoing AS and IS. AS is a viable initial management option for patients with low-risk PTMC.

The recent sharp increase in thyroid cancer incidence is mainly due to increased detection of small papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). Due to the indolent nature of the disease, active surveillance (AS) of low-risk PTMCs is suggested as an alternative to immediate surgery to reduce morbidity from surgery. For appropriately selected PTMC patients, AS can be a good management option and surgical intervention can be safely delayed until progression occurs. Many considerations must be taken into account at the time of initiation of AS, including radiological tumor characteristics and clinical characteristics of the patient. A specialized medical team should be assembled to monitor patients during AS with an appropriate follow-up protocol. The fact that some patients require surgery for disease progression after long-term follow-up is a major drawback of the current AS protocol. Evaluation of tumor kinetics by three-dimensional tumor volume measurement during the initial 2–3 years of AS may be helpful for discrimination of PTMCs that need early surgical intervention. In this review, we will discuss the clinical outcomes of surgical intervention and AS, considerations during AS, and unresolved questions about AS.