Active displacement field in the Suez–Sinai area: the role of postseismic deformation

Abstract

By means of a spherical viscoelastic model of co- and postseismic deformation we compute the postseismic displacement associated with the November, 1995, M w=7.2, Aqaba (Jordan) earthquake. We compare our results with the observational data obtained by a GPS campaign performed in a wide portion of Sinai between November 1997 and May 1998. Though the original purpose of the campaign was to explain the tectonic features of the region, the displacement values deduced from the GPS observations are hardly reconcilable with any of the proposed tectonic models of Sinai. Our hypothesis is that the detected deformation field could be due more to the postseismic relaxation following the Aqaba earthquake rather than to tectonic movements. Our results show that both GPS observational data and the postseismic simulations predict a compressional regime in the Gulf of Suez though the contraction detected by GPS is generally larger. The best agreement with the data is obtained for an asthenospheric and lower crust viscosity of 10 18 Pa s and an absence of aseismic afterslip on the fault plane. We conclude that the contribution coming from the postseismic viscoelastic relaxation of the ductile shallow layers following the 1995 Aqaba earthquake is likely to play an important role in determining the present deformation field in Sinai. The transient postseismic relaxation seems to play a more important role than the secular tectonic deformation.