Abstract

Introduction: Creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is biased in the setting of obesity and other conditions. Alternative kidney filtration markers may be particularly useful in adults with diabetes, but few studies examined the risk of clinical outcomes associated with filtration markers in adults with type 2 diabetes. Objective: We evaluated whether baseline levels and change in eGFR based on creatinine (Cr), cystatin C (Cys), and B 2 -microglobulin (B2M) were associated with the risk of clinical outcomes among individuals with type 2 diabetes. Methods: In the Action in Diabetes and Vascular Disease: Preterax and Diamicron Modified Release Controlled Evaluation (ADVANCE) trial, Cr, Cys, and B2M were measured in 7,217 participants at baseline and a random sample of 640 participants at the 1 year visit. We categorized baseline eGFR Cr , eGFR Cys , eGFR B2M , and the average across the 3 eGFR estimates (eGFR avg ) into quarters, and examined associations with major macrovascular and microvascular events together, and separately, and all-cause mortality using Cox regression models, adjusting for established risk factors. We also examined associations with continuous eGFR decline and increase (per 30%). Results: Over a median follow-up of 5 years, 1,313 combined major macrovascular (n=748) and microvascular events (n=637), and 743 deaths occurred. Lower levels of eGFR based on all three filtration markers individually and combined were associated with 1.5 to 2.2 times higher risk of combined major macrovascular and microvascular events, with similar patterns for other outcomes ( Table ). Per 30% decline in eGFR Cys and eGFR avg were associated with a >2-fold higher risk of all clinical outcomes, after additional adjustment of baseline eGFR. Conclusions: In adults with type 2 diabetes, baseline levels of eGFR based on alternative filtration markers and per 30% decline in eGFR Cys and eGFR avg were consistently associated with all clinical outcomes.

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