Abstract
Background: In randomized trials, the new oral anticoagulants (NOAC) dabigatran and rivaroxaban have been at least as efficacious as warfarin in the prevention of ischemic stroke in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Information on the effectiveness of NOACs versus warfarin in real-world populations in the US is more limited. Methods: We used data from the US MarketScan Commercial and Medicare Supplemental databases in the period 2010-12. We selected patients initiating oral anticoagulants after NVAF diagnosis, and with at least 6 months of enrollment before first anticoagulant use. Patients initiating dabigatran or rivaroxaban were matched with up to 5 warfarin users by age, sex, and time in the database. Outcomes of interest (ischemic stroke, intracranial bleeding, and gastrointestinal [GI] bleeding) were defined according to validated algorithms. Information on other comorbidities and medication use was obtained from inpatient, outpatient, and pharmacy claims. High-dimensional propensity score-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the association of NOACs vs warfarin with each outcome of interest. Results: The analysis included 32,918 dabigatran, 3,301 rivaroxaban and 92,633 warfarin users with NVAF. During an average 13-month follow-up (6 for rivaroxaban, 15 for dabigatran), 1035 ischemic strokes, 225 intracranial bleeds, and 1842 GI bleeds were identified. Rate of ischemic stroke was similar in patients initiating NOACs compared to those on warfarin. However, rate of intracranial bleeding was lower in patients using NOACs compared to warfarin users, while GI bleeding rate was higher in dabigatran users than warfarin users (Table). Conclusion: In this large real-world patient population, effectiveness of NOACs (compared to warfarin) for diverse outcomes was comparable to efficacy reported in the RE-LY and ROCKET-AF trials.
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