Abstract 17019: Secular Trends in Dilated and Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy in an Epidemiological Cohort in Olmsted County, Minnesota

Abstract

Introduction: Idiopathic Dilated (DCM) and hypertrophic cardiomyopathies (HCM) are leading causes of sudden cardiac death. The incidence and prevalence of both DCM and HCM were originally estimated in Olmsted County, MN over 1975-1984. Incidence was 6.0 and prevalence was 36.5 per 100,000 person-years, for DCM; with incidence and prevalence rates of 2.5 and 19.7 per 100,000 person-years for HCM. This study aims to determine the incidence and mortality rates of individuals diagnosed with HCM and DCM in Olmsted County, MN from 1984 to 2016. Methods: The Rochester Epidemiology Project is a validated long term medical record linkage system that collects and links medical information for the approximately 145000 residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota. Using this database and the Electronic Health Record systems at Mayo Clinic and Olmsted Medical Center in Rochester, MN, we manually reviewed and validated the medical records of 4440 patients. This cohort includes all patients with any mention of a cardiomyopathy based on ICD and HICDA codes during the period 1984 to 2016. Data were summarized with mean and standard deviation, frequency and percentage and compared between groups using two sample t-test for continuous data and chi-square for proportions. Survival was computed using Kaplan-Meier methods and compared to expected survival based on age and gender. Incidence was computed using Olmsted County population numbers during the time period and adjusted to the US 1980 white population to allow for comparison with the previous study. Results: The calculated crude incidence rate for DCM and HCM are 10.1 and 7.8 per 100,000 respectively. Incidence rates adjusted for comparison to US 1980 white population (age and sex adjusted) are 10.4 (95% CI: 9.3-11.4) and 8.0 (95% CI: 7.1-8.8) per 100,000 person-years, respectively. The observed number of deaths in this cohort (HCM and DCM) was 420 vs 194 expected. Conclusions: Calculated incidence, both crude and adjusted rates are higher than previously estimated rates. The crude incidence rate for HCM is almost 4-fold higher than that for DCM is 2.4 times higher than the original estimate by Codd et al. Individuals with cardiomyopathies were found to have a higher overall mortality rate than the general population with an observed to expected hazard ratio of 1.73 (95% CI 1.49-2.01, p<0.001) for DCM and 1.44 (95% CI 1.21-1.71, p<0.001) for HCM. Our findings suggest that previous studies may have underestimated the true burden of HCM and DCM in the population which has important implications for healthcare provision and cost.