Abstract

Economic development forecasting allows planners to choose the right strategies for the future. This study is to propose economic development prediction method based on the wavelet kernel-based primal twin support vector machine algorithm. As gross domestic product (GDP) is an important indicator to measure economic development, economic development prediction means GDP prediction in this study. The wavelet kernel-based primal twin support vector machine algorithm can solve two smaller sized quadratic programming problems instead of solving a large one as in the traditional support vector machine algorithm. Economic development data of Anhui province from 1992 to 2009 are used to study the prediction performance of the wavelet kernel-based primal twin support vector machine algorithm. The comparison of mean error of economic development prediction between wavelet kernel-based primal twin support vector machine and traditional support vector machine models trained by the training samples with the 3–5 dimensional input vectors, respectively, is given in this paper. The testing results show that the economic development prediction accuracy of the wavelet kernel-based primal twin support vector machine model is better than that of traditional support vector machine.

Highlights

  • As policy makers examine the future economic plans for their regions, economic development forecasting allows planners to choose the right strategies for the future [1, 2]

  • Kim et al presented early warning system of economic crisis based on artificial neural networks; the experimental results indicated that artificial neural networks can predict economic growth effectively [7]

  • The comparison of the prediction values between the wavelet kernel-based primal twin support vector machine model and traditional support vector machine model trained by the training samples with 4-dimensional input vector, respectively, is given in Figure 4; and Figure 5 gives the comparison of the prediction error between the wavelet kernel-based primal twin support vector machine model and traditional support vector machine model trained by the regression training samples with 4-dimensional input vector, respectively

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Summary

Introduction

As policy makers examine the future economic plans for their regions, economic development forecasting allows planners to choose the right strategies for the future [1, 2]. This study is to propose economic development prediction method based on the wavelet kernel-based primal twin support vector machine algorithm (WPTSVM). Economic development data of Anhui province from 1992 to 2009 are used to study the prediction performance of the wavelet kernel-based primal twin support vector machine algorithm. In this experiment, we employ the training samples with different dimensional input vector to train the wavelet kernel-based primal twin support vector machine algorithm. The comparison of mean error of economic development prediction between wavelet kernelbased primal twin support vector machine and traditional support vector machine model trained by the training samples with the 3–5 dimensional input vectors, respectively, is given. The organization of this paper has been described as follows: wavelet kernel-based primal twin support vector machine has been introduced in Section 2; experimental analysis of economic development prediction method based on the wavelet kernel-based primal twin support vector machine algorithm is described in Section 3; and Section 4 gives the conclusions

The Proposed Wavelet Kernel-Based Primal Twin Support Vector Machine
Experimental Analysis
Conclusions
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