A VMD-deep learning approach for individual load monitoring and forecasting for residential buildings energy management

Abstract

This paper presents a comprehensive solution for Multi-Individual load disaggregation and Multi-individual load Forecasting in residential energy systems. The approach combines Variable Mode Decomposition (VMD) and deep learning algorithms, incorporating feature selection using Random Forest Regressor and parameter optimization through the Salp Swarm Algorithm (SSA). Correlation analysis is used to identify the most relevant Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) for each appliance, while self-correlation is used to determine the past window for forecasting appliances’ usage a day ahead. The robustness of VMD against noise contributes to the improved accuracy of appliance designation. The load disaggregation strategy yields significant results, indicating the high performance of the disaggregation tasks of these models. Specifically, the proposed disaggregation models exhibit an average RMSE and MAPE of 4.10 W and 4.14 %, respectively. Furthermore, we conduct a comparison among three deep learning architectures (GRU, LSTM, 1DCNN) based Multi-Individual load forecasting models, revealing that the GRU-based MILF model outperforms the other two models, it shows an average performance of RMSE and MAPE of 9.54 W and 8.10 %. The research provides valuable insights and a practical solution for accurate load disaggregation and forecasting, contributing to enhanced energy efficiency, cost savings, and sustainable power consumption in residential settings, and give detailed energetic bill with the aim to analyze the occupant consumption behavior, and gives depth insights about power consumption and cost of each appliance and their operation time.