Abstract

BackgroundThe prognosis of patients with metastatic melanomas is extremely heterogeneous. Therefore, identifying high-risk subgroups by using innovative prediction models would help to improve selection of appropriate management options.MethodsIn this study, two datasets (GSE7929 and GSE7956) of mRNA expression microarray in an animal melanoma model were normalized by frozen Robust Multi-Array Analysis and then combined by the distance-weighted discrimination method to identify time course-dependent metastasis-related gene signatures by Biometric Research Branch-ArrayTools (BRB)-ArrayTools. Then two datasets (GSE8401 and GSE19234) of clinical melanoma samples with relevant clinical and survival data were used to validate the prognosis signature.ResultsA novel 192-gene set that varies significantly in parallel with the increasing of metastatic potentials was identified in the animal melanoma model. Further, this gene signature was validated to correlate with poor prognosis of human metastatic melanomas but not of primary melanomas in two independent datasets. Furthermore, multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses demonstrated that the prognostic value of the 192-gene set is independent of the TNM stage and has higher areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve than stage information in both validation datasets.ConclusionOur findings suggest that a time course-dependent metastasis-related gene expression signature is useful in predicting survival of malignant melanomas and might be useful in informing treatment decisions for these patients.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13000-014-0155-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Highlights

  • The prognosis of patients with metastatic melanomas is extremely heterogeneous

  • We identified a novel gene signature based on time course mRNA expression microarray data in an animal melanoma model that can be used to predict survival in patients with malignant melanomas

  • In this study, a gene set that correlated with the metastatic potential of melanoma cell lines was first identified from the gene expression profiling of two datasets (GSE7929 and GSE7956)

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Summary

Introduction

The prognosis of patients with metastatic melanomas is extremely heterogeneous. It has been estimated that approximately 15% of patients with primary melanoma will develop distant metastases [2]. Developing innovative prediction models for stratifying metastatic. Gene expression profiling has been used to establish molecular signatures for classifying the subtypes of primary tumors and predicting the clinical outcome of multiple cancers including malignant melanoma [5,6]. Previous studies have identified several panels of gene expression signatures with clinical relevance to malignant melanoma. We identified a novel gene signature based on time course mRNA expression microarray data in an animal melanoma model that can be used to predict survival in patients with malignant melanomas

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