Abstract
A package for constructing rule-based models for water quality management in lakes was developed. The preliminary application deals with prediction of bluegreen algal blooms in a lake. An expert system cell VP-EXPERT was coupled with TURBO PASCAL 5.0 and dBASE-IV. The rule-base is used as a predictive probabilistic model, and the prediction is updated with the past distribution of observations from the calendar month predicted. The approach was found attractive and further studies are justified, both in developing the present application, and in testing the applicability of PROLOG in coding the system.
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