A Research on the Factors Influencing Carbon Emission of Transportation Industry in “the Belt and Road Initiative” Countries Based on Panel Data

The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), proposed by China in 2013, is a major global initiative aimed at fostering economic development and connectivity. However, relevant data indicate that some BRI countries rank among the highest in global carbon emissions, raising international concerns about the environmental impacts of Chinas outward foreign direct investment (OFDI). Based on panel data from 62 BRI countries spanning the years 2003 to 2023, this paper explores in depth the impact of Chinas OFDI on carbon emissions in these countries. The results show that: (1) Chinas OFDI significantly reduces carbon emissions in BRI countries, demonstrating a pollution halo effect. Additionally, the impact of Chinas OFDI varies across countries with different levels of carbon emissions; (2) Chinas OFDI curbs carbon emissions mainly by promoting technological innovation and enhancing government effectiveness; (3) Heterogeneity analysis reveals that Chinas investments in OECD and developed countries under the BRI show a more pronounced carbon reduction effect. Moreover, the carbon mitigation impact of Chinas OFDI differs between neighboring and non-neighboring countries. Therefore, China should continue to deepen cooperation with BRI countries and develop targeted investment strategies based on the economic development level, trade openness, and geographical location of each country. Emphasis should be placed on strengthening mechanisms for the sharing of green technologies and improving governance capacity among participating countries.

Energy poverty and climate change are global challenges. While the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has fostered energy cooperation and alleviated energy poverty in BRI countries, its impact on climate change requires careful examination. This study investigates the impact of energy poverty alleviation on carbon emissions in BRI countries and analyzes the underlying mechanisms. In particular, this study constructs an integrated energy poverty assessment framework that includes three dimensions of energy accessibility, cleanliness, and affordability and utilizes the entropy-TOPSIS method to assess the status of energy poverty in 70 BRI countries. Subsequently, an empirical analysis using the Gini index as an instrumental variable was conducted to explore the impact of energy poverty alleviation on carbon emissions and the specific mechanisms. It is found that alleviating energy poverty in BRI countries will lead to an increase in per capita carbon emissions. However, improving energy cleanliness is effective in reducing per capita carbon emissions, while improving energy affordability has no significant impact on carbon emissions. This study shows that energy poverty alleviation and carbon emission reduction are two non-conflicting sustainable development goals. BRI countries can synergize energy poverty alleviation and carbon emissions reduction by focusing on clean energy development and providing energy subsidies.

Transportation is an important part of social and economic development and is also a typical high-energy and high-emissions industry. Achieving low-carbon development in the transportation industry is a much-needed requirement and the only way to achieve high-quality development. Therefore, based on the relevant data of 30 provinces in China from 2010 to 2018, this research uses the static panel model, panel threshold model and spatial Durbin model to conduct an empirical study on the impact and mechanism of digital innovation on carbon emissions in the transportation industry, and draws the following conclusions. (1) Carbon emissions in the transportation industry have dynamic and continuous adjustment characteristics. (2) There is a significant inverted U-shape non-linear relationship between the level of digital innovation and carbon emissions in the industry. In regions with a low level of digital innovation, the application of digital technology increases carbon emissions in this industry, but as the level of digital innovation continues to increase its application suppresses carbon emissions, showing an effect of carbon emission reduction. (3) The impact of digital innovation on carbon emissions in the transportation industry has a spatial spillover effect, and its level in one province significantly impacts carbon emissions in other provinces’ transportation industry through the spatial spillover effect. Therefore, it is recommended to further strengthen the exchange and cooperation of digital innovation in the transportation industry between regions, improve the scale of digitalization in this industry, and accelerate its green transformation through digital innovation, thus promoting the green, low-carbon, and sustainable development of China’s economy.

Climate change with global warming as the main feature associated with fossil energy use has been recognized as a threat to public health and welfare. Energy-related carbon emission reduction is a more serious challenge for BRI (Belt and Road Initiative) countries with rapid economic development. Examining key impact factors is necessary and helpful. This paper is the first study providing detailed country-by-country analyses aiming to identify the key drivers and inhibitors of energy-related carbon emission in 66 BRI countries with more systematic impact factors. The results show that: (1) Economic development (A), population (Ps), urbanization (Pu), and industrialization (Ss) are the key drivers for 52%, 26%, 11%, and 6% countries of BRI countries. Technological progress (T), energy consumption structure (E), and tertiary industry proportion (St) serve as key inhibitors for 65%, 17%, and 8% countries of BRI countries. (2) Different carbon emission reduction strategies should be formed on different geographical scales. At the international level, carbon emission reduction consensus should be reached and carbon emission reduction targets should be formulated. At the regional level of the Belt and Road Initiative, a carbon emission reduction cooperation fund should be established, and carbon emission reduction technologies and measures should be exchanged and data should be shared to promote the green development of the Belt and Road. At the national level, there should be carbon emission reduction policies reflecting national characteristics. At the local level, there should be specific carbon reduction measures in line with local conditions.

In 2013, the Chinese government officially announced the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Since then, environmentalists have raised concerns regarding the environmental impact of trade between China and BRI countries. Therefore, the current study aims to analyze the environmental impact of the two aspects of BRI countries' trade: First, it examines the environmental impact of trade openness between China and BRI countries. Second, it examines the environmental impact of trade openness among BRI countries. For this purpose, the current study employs the two-step system GMM model with a panel dataset for the period 2001-2018. The results obtained for the whole sample of 88 selected BRI countries suggest that the trade openness between China and BRI countries significantly reduces CO2 emissions. However, the trade openness among BRI countries has no significant effect on CO2 emissions. In addition, BRI countries' exports to China do not have a significant effect on CO2 emissions. However, BRI countries' imports from China significantly reduce CO2 emissions in these countries. The results obtained for the subsamples of BRI countries suggest that the trade openness between China and BRI countries, BRI countries' exports to China, and BRI countries' imports from China have no significant effect on CO2 emissions in both low-income and high-income BRI countries. Moreover, the trade openness among BRI countries significantly increases CO2 emissions in low-income BRI countries only.

This study presents an attempt to scrutinize whether the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) promotes environmental degradation in BRI countries using panel data of 130 countries during the period 1990 to 2018. For this, we used carbon emission as a proxy variable to estimate environmental degradation. Taking BRI as a quasi-natural experiment this paper used a difference-in-difference approach to estimate the impact of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on environmental degradation. The finding consistently shows that BRI has a significant impact on environmental degradation. Furthermore, economic growth shows a negative correlation with carbon emission and square term of GDP per capita presents that there is no evidence for the existence of the environment Kuznet curve hypothesis, however, this study established a U-shaped association between economic growth and [Formula: see text] emission, whereas, energy consumption and population shows a positive impact on carbon emission and financial development and trade openness reduce the carbon emission and these findings are robust to estimation approaches. The findings imply that BRI demands special attention from the Chinese Government and BRI participating countries to establish a new policy mechanism to enforce the standards globally to protect the carbon emission. The findings also suggest that governments should promote environment-friendly energy consumption and supportive energy infrastructure to tackle the issue of environmental degradation.

Since the official launch of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in 2013, China and the BRI countries have been working for the implementation of certain environmental measures to make the BRI project green and clean. For this purpose, China and the BRI countries have planned to implement certain environmental measures. Although China can efficiently implement these measures, most of the BRI countries face technological deficiencies and lack of proper environmental plannings. To tackle these deficiencies, the BRI countries can import environmental technology from China. Moreover, they can communicate their environmental protection policies with China for better policy guidance. The current study, therefore, aims to examine whether the BRI countries’ import of environmental technology from China can reduce carbon emissions in these countries. Moreover, it also examines that whether these countries should follow the environmental policy and the import policy of China or they should follow the six European countries (EU-6) with minimum carbon emissions intensity. This study considers a sample of 88 selected BRI countries (BRI-88) for the period 2001–2019. The results obtained with β convergence (based on the panel quantile regression model) suggest that not all the BRI countries but only the BRI countries with relatively higher carbon emissions intensity can significantly reduce their average carbon emissions intensity by importing environmental technology from China. Moreover, BRI countries can follow the environmental policy of China which is more feasible for them. However, regarding the environmental goods import policy, BRI countries can follow both China and the EU-6.

Global economic structure transition boosts PM2.5-related human health impact in Belt and Road Initiative

Introduction: The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is an important cooperative framework that increasingly affects the global economy, trade, and emission patterns. However, most existing studies pay insufficient attention to consumption-based emissions, embodied emissions, and non-CO2 greenhouse gases (GHGs). This study constructs a GHG emissions database to study the trends and variations in production-based, consumption-based, and embodied emissions associated with BRI countries.Outcome: We find that the per capita GHG emissions of BRI countries are lower than the global average but show significant variation within this group. We also find that trade-embodied emissions between BRI countries and China are growing. As a group, BRI countries are anet exporter of GHGs, with a global share of net export emissions of about 20%. In 2011, nearly 80% of GHG export emissions from BRI countries flowed to non-BRI countries, and nearly 15% flowed to China; about 57% of GHG import emissions were from non-BRI countries, and about 38% were from China.Conclusion: Therefore, this study concludes that the BRI should be used to coordinate climate governance to accelerate and strengthen the dissemination and deployment of low-emissions technologies, strategies, and policies within the BRI so as to avoid a carbon-intensive lock-in effect.

Investment and construction of power infrastructure are directly related to the achievement of sustainable development goals. China's trade and investment with BRI (Belt and Road Initiative) countries have maintained growth trend. The development and construction of these investment projects certainly have impacts on the economic development mode and sustainable development goals of the countries. On collecting the basic information of the renewable energy investment projects, this paper compares and calculates the current power technology structure and grid emission factors of the host countries, and analyses the carbon emission level of electricity generation from the perspective of the whole life cycle. Making it as the benchmark, this paper also analyzes the current China's invested wind and solar energy projects and the carbon emission reduction benefits to the host country. The results show that at present, China has about 36 renewable energy investment projects in BRI countries, with an installed capacity of 15.75GW (China as the project owner or investor), and achieve at least 48.69M tCO2 emission reduction. This shows that China's effective investment and implementation of the green projects will provide a strong impetus for the energy transformation and the improvement of their energy security in BRI countries.

Imbalance and drivers of carbon emissions embodied in trade along the Belt and Road Initiative

BackgroundChina launched the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) aiming to develop a mutually-beneficial, sustainable trade model with partner countries. The processes of international health exchanges are key parts of how this model can be sustained into the future. This paper aims to contribute to broader understanding by exploring various intentions, needs, advantages and barriers of BRI countries and then define ways China can achieve better health cooperation.MethodsIn this study, a survey questionnaire was developed to investigate the perspectives of 60 international experts from 29 BRI countries. The survey was distributed and collected during the “Belt and Road High-level Meeting for Health Cooperation”, held in Beijing in August 2017. The data were entered into EpiData 3.0 by two team members respectively and analyzed with SPSS22.0.ResultsAltogether 58 valid questionnaires were obtained. More than 93% of participants showed their willingness to be part of BRI health cooperation. Frist, three key areas were identified, which are broadly defined as BRI country “needs”: (1) “Develop health industries”; (2) “Prevent and control infectious diseases”; and (3) “Provide health services”. Second, three “advantages” of participating in BRI Health Cooperation were found: (1) “The establishment of a long-term partnership”; (2) “Quality investment and financing system”; and (3) “The convenience of cooperation”. Third, two main cross-cultural “barriers” for cooperation were encountered: (1) “Cultural differences”; and (2) “Lack of communication platforms”.ConclusionIn this study, we have identified priority fields that China can collaborate with BRI countries and show its leadership. It is suggested that successful health cooperation between China and other BRI countries should focus on maximizing present health-industry partnerships, investment and financing, as well as overcoming cultural and communication barriers.

Evaluating the impact and heterogeneity of China's OFDI on total-factor carbon emission performance in Belt and Road Initiative countries

Bibliometric research on the development of climate change in the BRI regions

China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is a global development strategy, representing great potentials for multilateral trade cooperation and economic growth in Asia, Europe and Africa. The trade volume of commodities along the BRI countries booms in the last few years. The commodities trade attracts extensive attention worldwide, but the waste and scrap (WaS) trade received little attention. To fill this gap, this study reviews the dynamic evolution of the WaS trade network and evaluates the potential WaS trade risks in the BRI countries from three real world scenarios. First, this study constructs the WaS trade networks among the BRI countries from 1989 to 2018. Second, the synopsis of the WaS trade network is reviewed. Third, the shock models are built to analyze the impact of shocks in three scenarios on the stability of trade cooperation among the BRI countries. Finally, the policy implications are provided to promote the WaS trade collaboration among the BRI countries. This study is valuable because it is the first time to identify the WaS trade risk among the BRI countries. It will support policy-makers to build an effective collaboration mechanism to alleviate resource shortage and tackle the global WaS crisis.