A new diagnostic scoring system to differentiate Hirschsprung’s disease from Hirschsprung’s disease-allied disorders in patients with suspected intestinal dysganglionosis

Abstract

To create a simple diagnostic scoring system to differentiate Hirschsprung's disease (HD) from Hirschsprung's disease-allied disorders (HAD) in patients with suspected intestinal dysganglionosis (IDs). Between 1998 and 2008, 967 patients with suspected intestinal dysganglionosis underwent surgical treatment at the pediatric surgery department of Tongji Hospital. The diagnosis of HD or HAD was confirmed by postoperative pathological examination. All patients underwent preoperative work-up including barium enema, anorectal manometry, and histochemical acetylcholinesterase staining of rectal mucosa. Known risk factors for IDs were recorded. The predicting score was calculated by summing the scores of the risk factors and three preoperative tests. The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive values, negative predictive values, positive likelihood ratios, and negative likelihood ratios of the predicting score were calculated. The cutoff score for predicting HD was determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. The accuracy of the predicting score was measured by the area under the ROC curve. Failed or delayed passage of meconium, age <3 years and male gender were risk factors associated with HD. The area under the ROC curve of the predicting score was 0.927 (95 % confidence interval, 0.910-0.944). A predicting score of more than 5 was used as a cutoff for predicting HD. The scoring system achieved 83.1 % sensitivity, 89.5 % specificity, and 85.9 % accuracy in predicting HD. Patients with a predicting score of more than 5 are more likely to be diagnosed with HD, whereas a score less than 5 are mostly indicative of HAD.