Abstract

Epidemiology is the branch of science on which public health research is founded. This essay shall review some of the principles underlying current methodology, revealing some ambiguities and inconsistencies. A new approach is proposed, the Bernoulli space, which is a complete model of uncertainty in a given situation. Each part of the model is necessary and the entire model is sufficient for describing all relevant parts of uncertainty. Using the Bernoulli space two aims are achieved: (1) Reliable and accurate predictions are obtained as basis for the decision-making process; (2) A unique interpretation of the obtained experimental results is obtained.

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