A multivariate prediction of spatial process with non-stationary covariance for Kuwait non-methane hydrocarbons levels

Abstract

Predicting unmeasured realizations of multivariate spatial process responses is a fundamental problem in environmetrics. The study of levels of air pollutants is important for understanding and improving air quality in major urban areas. This research aims to handle the prediction in a Bayesian framework for non-methane hydrocarbons NMHC pollutant for the State of Kuwait where records of six monitor stations located in different sites are observed at successive time points. Our objective is to study the distribution level of NMHC with respect to time and metreological parameters and space and use this distribution to predict the concentration of NMHC in other sites of Kuwait using the minimum amount of data (reducing the cost). We will implement a hierarchical Bayesian approach assuming Gaussian random field technique that allows us to pool the data from different sites in predicting the exposure of the non-methane hydrocarbons in different regions of Kuwait.