Abstract
The paper reports on the development of unique standard gas consumption profiles for the end gas consumers and the preparation of a method for the implementation of the developed profiles for forecasting and preliminary gas allocation. Four years of gas consumption and temperature measurements were used to develop eight types of consumption profiles for 17 gas consumer groups, which were grouped according to their professional activity. As an alternative to the exponential, Gompertz or logistic model functions, frequently used in gas consumption model developments, the sigmoid model function is implemented and model constants for the eight types of profiles are developed based on the knowledge of the temperature independent portion of the gas consumption and separate treatment of workdays/weekends. Based on these profiles, a method was developed for the preliminary allocation of the gas consumption. The developed profiles and the gas consumption allocation method were validated on the available set of gas consumption data for the Slovenian gas market, proving the sigmoid model function based gas consumption allocation as an accurate and viable means of gas consumption forecasting.
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
