Abstract

BackgroundGastric intestinal metaplasia (GIM) is a significant risk factor for gastric cancer. Risk of gastric cancer/dysplasia between complete intestinal metaplasia (CIM) and incomplete intestinal metaplasia (IIM) was controversial. Our study aimed to pool relative risk (RR) of cancer/dysplasia of IIM compared with CIM in GIM patients.MethodsPubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library and Web of Science were searched for studies concerning cancer/dysplasia in GIM patients. Random-effects or fixed-effects model was utilized for pooling RR. Sensitivity and publication bias analyses were conducted. Stability of results would be evaluated in case of publication bias.Results12 studies were included. Compared with CIM, pooled RR of cancer/dysplasia in IIM patients was 4.48 (95% CI 2.50–8.03), and the RR was 4.96 (95% CI 2.72–9.04) for cancer, and 4.82 (95% CI 1.45–16.0) for dysplasia. The pooled RR for cancer/dysplasia in type III IM was 6.27 (95% CI 1.89–20.77) compared with type II + I IM, while it was 5.55 (95% CI 2.07–14.92) compared with type II IM. Pooled RR between type II IM and type I IM was 1.62 (95% CI 1.16–2.27). Subgroup analyses showed that IIM was associated with a higher risk of gastric cancer/dysplasia in Western population (pooled RR = 4.65 95% CI 2.30–9.42), but not in East Asian population (pooled RR = 4.01 95% CI 0.82–19.61).ConclusionsIIM was related to a higher risk of cancer/dysplasia compared with CIM. Risk of developing cancer/dysplasia from type I, II, and III intestinal metaplasia increased gradually.

Highlights

  • Gastric intestinal metaplasia (GIM) is a significant risk factor for gastric cancer

  • In a subgroup analysis of the meta-analysis conducted by Shao et al [1], intestinal metaplasia (IIM) was associated with a higher risk of gastric cancer than complete intestinal metaplasia (CIM) in patients with GIM

  • In view of these controversies, our study aimed to pool the relative risk (RR) of cancer/dysplasia of IIM compared with CIM in patients with GIM

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Summary

Introduction

Gastric intestinal metaplasia (GIM) is a significant risk factor for gastric cancer. Our study aimed to pool relative risk (RR) of cancer/dysplasia of IIM compared with CIM in GIM patients. According to Correa’s gastric cancer model, gastric intestinal metaplasia (GIM) is a significant risk factor for gastric cancer [1]. In a subgroup analysis of the meta-analysis conducted by Shao et al [1], IIM (pooled OR = 59.48, 95% CI 4.33–20.78) was associated with a higher risk of gastric cancer than CIM (pooled OR = 51.55, 95% CI 0.91–2.65) in patients with GIM. The risk of malignant transformation of IIM compared with CIM was not clarified In view of these controversies, our study aimed to pool the relative risk (RR) of cancer/dysplasia of IIM compared with CIM in patients with GIM. We compared the predictive ability among 3 subtypes of intestinal metaplasia

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