Abstract

The location of waste treatment facilities is a crucial strategic decision in urban management. Most existing studies focus on mathematical modeling and algorithm solving for multi-objective models aimed at minimizing cost or pollution. They lack consideration for the resilience of decision solutions in the face of uncertain and unpredictable disruptive incidents. This paper aims to bridge the research gap by proposing a top-down hybrid multi-criteria decision-making model that incorporates cost, pollution, social discontent, and system resilience simultaneously. The proposed model integrates various methods such as integer programming modeling, simulation modeling, and catastrophe analysis. It addresses the challenge that disruptive incidents cannot be precisely expressed. Additionally, it quantitatively analyzes the factors that impact system resilience. Finally, the proposed model is validated by applying it to a waste management network based on the real case of Shenzhen city. The results demonstrate notable differences in the resilience indexes among the solutions in the Pareto-optimal set, which confirms the significance of system resilience from another aspect. Further catastrophe analysis reveals several valuable insights for urban waste management. This paper offers a new perspective to cope with various risks related to waste management and provides a method reference and decision support for the construction of urban resilience.

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