A feasibility study of [18F] FDG PET/CT radiomics in predicting high-risk cytogenetic abnormalities in multiple myeloma

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BackgroundMultiple myeloma (MM) is a heterogeneous malignancy with prognosis significantly affected by high-risk cytogenetic abnormalities (HRCAs). Traditional detection using fluorescence in situ hybridisation is invasive and limited in capturing disease heterogeneity. We aimed to develop and validate radiomics model based on pretreatment [18F] fluoro-deoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomographic (18F-FDG PET/CT) imaging to non-invasively predict HRCAs in newly diagnosed MM patients.ResultsAmong the 42 candidate models, the Decision Tree classifier utilizing PET active lesions features demonstrated optimal performance in the validation cohort, exhibiting excellent predictive ability (Area Under the Curve (AUC) = 0.89), significantly outperforming the PET metrics model (AUC = 0.84) and clinical model (AUC = 0.74). SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis identified the PET-derived feature as the most important contributor to the model’s predictive capacity. The model stratified patients into high-risk and low-risk groups, with the high-risk group exhibiting significantly worse PFS and OS (median PFS: high-risk 24.5 months vs. low-risk 29 months; p = 0.0360; median OS: high-risk 33.5 months vs. low-risk 50 months; p = 0.0023).ConclusionAs a non-invasive imaging biomarker, PET/CT radiomics holds potential for predicting high-risk cytogenetic status and facilitating patient prognosis stratification Further large-scale, multi-center prospective validations are essential to confirm its utility for personalized therapeutic decision-making in MM.Supplementary InformationThe online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13550-025-01321-8.

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Chromosome 1q21 abnormalities in multiple myeloma
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Objective: To analyze the sensitivity of cytoplasmic light-chain immunofluorescence with fluorescence in situ hybridization in bone marrow smears (new FISH) for detecting cytogenetic abnormalities in multiple myeloma (MM) . Methods: 42 MM patients admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from April 2022 to October 2023 were enrolled. The patients with MM were detected by new FISH and CD138 immunomagnetic bead sorting technology combined with FISH (MACS-FISH) or cytoplasmic immunoglobulin FISH (cIg-FISH) to analyze cytogenetic detection results using combination probes which included 1q21/1p32, p53, IgH, IgH/FGFR3 [t (4;14) ], and IgH/MAF [t (14;16) ]. Results: In 23 patients with MM, the abnormality detection rates of cIg-FISH and new FISH were 95.7% and 100.0%, respectively (P>0.05). The detection rates of 1q21+, 1p32-, p53 deletion, and IgH abnormalities by cIg-FISH and new FISH were consistent, which were 52.2%, 8.7%, 17.4%, and 65.2%, respectively. The results of the two methods further performed with t (4;14) and t (14;16) in patients with IgH abnormalities were identical. The positive rate of t (4;14) was 26.7%, whereas t (14;16) was not detected. In 19 patients with MM, the abnormality detection rates of MACS-FISH and new FISH were 73.7% and 63.2%, respectively (P>0.05). The positivity rate of 1q21+, 1p32- and IgH abnormalities detected by MACS-FISH were slightly higher than those detected by new FISH; however, the differences were not statistically significant (all P values >0.05) . Conclusion: The new FISH method has a higher detection rate of cytogenetic abnormalities in patients with MM and has good consistency with MACS-FISH and cIg-FISH.

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1p and 1q: Partners in crime in multiple myeloma.
  • Jun 1, 2024
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7571 Background: Cytogenetic abnormalities in multiple myeloma (MM) highly influence the disease course, response to treatment and survival. Trisomies and immunoglobulin H chain translocations are primary CA while del(17p), gain(1q), del(1p) among others are secondary CA. Gain (3 copies) and amplification (>3 copies) 1q have been recognized as adverse prognostic markers and incorporated into the second revision of the International Staging System (R2-ISS). However, the role of del(1p) is less well defined, especially in the era of novel therapies. We aimed to analyze the outcomes of newly diagnosed MM (NDMM) patients with chromosome 1 abnormalities, mainly del 1p, treated with autologous stem cell transplant (ASCT) consolidation at our institution. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study of all NDMM patients who were treated with ASCT from 1/1/2015-2/13/2019 (n=511). High-risk cytogenetics (HRC) were defined by the presence of del(17p), t(4;14), or t(14;16) similar to R-ISS; standard-risk cytogenetics (SRC) were defined as the absence of HRC. Modified HR cytogenetics (mHRC) included gain/amp 1q and/or t(14;20) in addition to HRC, while ultra high-risk (uHRC) included 2 or more mHRC CA. Results: Of 511 pts transplanted, 453 had cytogenetic data at the time of diagnosis. SRC were seen in 353 pts (77.9%), while 100 (22.1%) had HRC, 156 (34.4%) had mHRC, and 43 (9.5%) had uHRC. Thirty-two (7.1%) pts had del(1p) while 105 (23.2%) had gain 1q and 30 (6.6%) had amplification 1q. As expected, compared to SRC pts, pts with HRC, mHRC and uHRC had higher risk of relapse or death. Patients with gain and amp 1q had inferior outcomes in terms of progression-free survival (PFS) (HR 1.35; 95% CI 1.06-1.73, p=0.016), time to next treatment (TTNT) (HR 1.84; 95% CI 1.40-2.42, p<0.001) and overall survival (OS) (HR 1.47; 95% CI 1.06-2.02, p=0.02) compared to those without, consistent with published literature. The median PFS, TTNT and OS from ASCT in pts with gain/amp 1q were 3.17 years (y), 3.95y and 7.13y, respectively, compared to 4.01y, 7.60y and 8.21y in pts without gain/amp 1q. Pts with del(1p) had inferior PFS (median 2.43y versus 3.98y; HR 1.75; 95% CI 1.16-2.64, p=0.008), TTNT (median 2.72y versus 6.17y; HR 1.96; 95% CI 1.22-3.14, p=0.005) and OS (median 4.11y versus 8.38y; HR 2.19; 95% CI 1.34-3.58, p=0.002) from the time of ASCT compared to those without del(1p). Conclusions: In our study of NDMM patients that underwent AHCT, del(1p) at diagnosis was an independent predictor of shorter PFS, TTNT and OS. Despite induction therapy involving novel drugs and ASCT consolidation, patients with del(1p) at diagnosis continue to have inferior outcomes. Larger analyses are needed to validate the prognostic value of del(1p) and investigate its role in predicting outcomes in MM.

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