A deep generative model for selecting representative periods in renewable energy-integrated power systems

Abstract

The extensive integration of renewable energies into power systems has led to a challenging and computationally demanding scenario for the system planning. This is due to the increased number of time series involved and the greater complexity of time series data integrated into power systems. In this paper, a new deep learning-based time aggregation method is proposed for selecting representative periods for renewable energy-integrated power system datasets where multiple variable energy resources are present. Relying on the capabilities of deep generative models, especially Generative Adversarial Network (GAN), the proposed method selects a representative period, including one or more representative days, obtained from multiple time series with spatio-temporal correlations among them. The proposed approach contains the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Network in both generator and discriminator parts. Also, it includes a loss term, specifically designed for clustering tasks, in the minimax objective of the vanilla GAN loss function to enhance the clustering performance in the latent space. Furthermore, the learning rate of the proposed model, as the most important parameter of the learning algorithm, is adaptively fine-tuned during the training process, based on the training error, to enhance its learning performance. Two real-world test cases with various datasets and time series are used for data-based and model-based evaluations. Results obtained on these two real-world test cases confirm the superiority of the proposed model with respect to the state-of-the-art conventional and deep learning-based models, obtaining the performance improvement in the range of [38.55 %, 46.14 %] in terms of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), in the range of [45.75 %, 70.16 %] in terms of Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and in the range of [65.81 %, 74.58 %] in terms of Mean Absolute Error (MAE). The proposed model can significantly enhance the tractability and scalability of the planning problem of renewable energy-integrated power systems, facilitating renewable energy integration into power systems which is a key issue for net zero transitioning of communities.