A Comparison of NCREIF, INREV, and ANREV Open-End Core Fund Indices

Abstract

Cross-border investment in non-listed real estate is on the rise. This article aims to compare the U.S. NFI-ODCE index with the European INREV ODCE index and the recently released Asian ANREV ODCE index with the hope that this study will be helpful to cross-border investors in these major markets. From 2016 through 2020 (five years), we found that the NCREIF fund count remained relatively flat, but the INREV and ANREV fund count increase steadily. At the end of 2020, NCREIF's GAV was 270 billion dollars compared with INREVs 39 billion dollars and ANREV's 16 billion dollars, a considerable size difference between the U.S. and the other two. However, much smaller ANREV Gross Asset Value grew much faster. When we calculated the 12-month rolling returns for the respective regions, we found that ANREV realized a 12-month rolling total return of 7.59% compared with INREV at 5.52% and NCREIF at 5.28%. When looking at a longer time period of 4 ½ years, we calculated a lower SHARP Ratio of 1.36 for ANREV compared to INREV at 2.28 and NCREIF at 2.32, demonstrating that INREV and NCREIF have similar and more favorable reward to risk ratios than ANREV. Further analysis found that the INREV and NCREIF ODCE indices are highly correlated, but we found that they were not cointegrated; therefore, we could not use one index to predict the values in the other. We encourage caution when generalizing these results since they are based on relatively short periods. It will be interesting to make these comparisons again when we have a long history of performance for the INREV and ANREV indices.