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A clustering framework proposal for defining neighborhood-scale dynamics: Evidence from São Paulo, Brazil

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Abstract
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Neighborhoods are critical arenas where urban form, accessibility, and daily life intersect, yet most megacities rely on coarse administrative boundaries that obscure local spatial and social dynamics. There is a persistent gap in objective, multicriteria, and data-driven methods for defining neighborhoods and supporting local planning. This paper proposes a transferable, data-light framework that clusters urban blocks into contiguous neighborhood units, contributing to a consistent socioterritorial definition. The framework incorporates barrier-aware adjacency constraints, PCA and multi-index/ARI-stability evidence based protocol to enable urban delineation. The method integrates three key planning dimensions: (A) built environment, (B) accessibility, and (C) sociodemographic context. After standardization and dimensionality reduction via Principal PCA, clustering is performed using three different algorithms. The algorithm dynamically adjusts the k-optimal value for each case. Applied to São Paulo, a 11.4-million–inhabitant city in Brazil, results indicate distance to high-capacity public transit as the most influential factor, correlating strongly with land value and commercial-service concentration. Population density remains relevant but not deterministic, underscoring the importance of a multi-criteria approach to neighborhood analysis. The clustering reveals socio-spatially cohesive areas that cut across formal administrative boundaries, exposing neighborhood-scale structures often obscured in conventional planning units. Core transit-rich clusters concentrate up to 75% of built area in commercial or service use, while peripheral zones remain underserved. The framework identifies neighborhood areas of influence that can support the delineation of reference perimeters for guiding the public policies, and offers planners a flexible tool for neighborhood-scale policy design, inclusive urban governance, and equitable spatial interventions. • Delimits objectively neighborhoods through unsupervised learning method • Replicable clustering approach strengthens neighborhood delineation in cities • Multi-metric clustering and validation method to analyse urban dynamics • São Paulo application evidences clustering’s relevance to neighborhood planning • Results showed strong alignment between cluster patterns and transit accessibility

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This study is aimed at decomposing and identifying the mediating effects of transit-oriented compact city planning elements on rail transit ridership during the proliferation of the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) in Seoul, Korea. The study are focused on how urban physical form such as density, diversity, design, and transit accessibility in rail station areas had affected the decrease of rail transit ridership during that time indirectly as well as directly, by employing the path modeling. Their indirect impacts on it are measured as rail transit ridership of a rail station affected by the form indictors as well as condensing trip-inducing facilities and socio-economic indicators for the 500m-buffer rail station area. Analysis results are summarized as follows below. First, rail transit ridership significantly decreased by urban physical form as well as single-unit facilities within a certain area. Second, the former had more indirectly influenced ridership decrease. Third, some urban physical form such as density, diversity and design had statistically significant on it while total effects of the two socio-economic measures had not. Fourth and finally, the avoidance for the use of rail transit were more prominent for the elderly than for the others. In addition, all of the urban form measures were differentiatively influenced by the two groups of rail riders.

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Accurate delineation of urban form is essential to understand the impacts that urbanization has on the environment and regional climate. Conventional supervised classification of urban form requires a rigidly defined scheme and high-quality sample data with class labels. Due to the complexity of urban systems, it is challenging to consistently define urban form types and collect metadata to describe them. Therefore, in this study, we propose a novel unsupervised deep learning method for urban form delineation while avoiding the limitations of conventional supervised urban form classification methods. The novelty of the proposed method is the Multiscale Residual Convolutional Autoencoder (MRCAE), which can learn the latent representation of different urban form types. These vectors can be further used to generalize urban form types by using Self-Organizing Map (SOM) and the Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM). The proposed method is applied in the metropolitan area of Guangzhou-Foshan, China. The MRCAE model along with SOM and GMM is used to generalize the urban form types from satellite images. The physical and functional properties of each urban form type are also analyzed using several auxiliary datasets, including building footprints, Points-of-Interests (POIs) and Tencent User Density (TUD) data. The results reveal that the urban form map generated based on the MRCAE can explain 55% of the building height distribution and 55% of the building area distribution, which are 2.1% and 3.3% higher than those derived from the conventional convolutional autoencoder. As the information of urban form is essential to urban climate models, the results presented in this study can become a basis to refine the quantification of urban climate parameters, thereby introducing the urban heterogeneity to help understand the climate response of future urbanization.

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Street layout and design, once established, are then not easily changed. Urban form affects community development, livability, sustainability, and traffic safety. There has been an assumed relationship between urban form and traffic safety that favors designs with less through streets to improve safety. An empirical study to test this assumed relationship was carried out for crash data for Portland, Oregon. This thesis presents an empirical methodology for analyzing the relationship between urban form and traffic safety utilizing a uniform grid for the spatial unit. Crashes in the Portland, Oregon city limits from 2005-2007 were analyzed and modeled using negative binomial regression to study the effect of urban form and street layout through factors on exposure, connectivity, transit accessibility, demographic factors, and origins and destinations. These relationships were modeled separately by mode: vehicle crashes, pedestrian and bicycle crashes. Models were also developed separately by crash type and by crash injury severity. The models found that urban form factors of street connectivity and intersection density were not significant at 95% confidence for vehicle and pedestrian crash rates, nor for different crash severity levels, indicating that high connectivity grid street layout may have comparable safety to loops and lollipops, in contrast to results in earlier studies. Elasticity for all models was dominated by VMT increases. Business density, population and transit stops were also significant factors in many models, underlining the importance not only of street layout design, but also planning to direct development to influence where businesses, employment, and housing will grow and handle traffic volumes safely.

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Urban form affects community development, livability, sustainability, and traffic safety. Urban planners have long assumed a relationship between urban form and traffic safety. That relationship favors designs with fewer through streets because such designs are believed to improve safety. An empirical study to explore this assumed relationship used crash data and an extensive resource of other data to define the urban form. Total reported crashes (21,492) within the city limits of Portland, Oregon, from 2005 to 2007 were aggregated by using a uniform 0.1-mi grid for the spatial unit (n = 792 cells); the crashes were modeled by using negative binomial regression to study the effect of urban form, which was defined by variables that captured street layout, exposure, connectivity, transit accessibility, demographics, and trip making (origins and destinations). These relationships were modeled separately by mode (vehicle, pedestrian, and bicycle crashes), by crash type, and by severity of crash injury. The models found that urban-form variables of street connectivity and intersection density were not significant at the 95% confidence level for vehicle and pedestrian crashes or for different levels of crash severity, in contrast to results in earlier studies. Elasticity estimates for all models were dominated by increases in vehicle miles traveled. Business density, population, and transit stops were significant variables in many models; these results underlined the importance of the design and planning of streets in determining where growth in businesses, employment, and housing will occur so that added traffic volumes can be handled safely.

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A greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions inventory is estimated at the household level from disaggregated trip data considering all emitting modes. Trip-level GHG emissions are estimated by combining data sources (e.g., origin–destination surveys, vehicle fleet characteristics, transit rider ship data) and by using modeling tools (traffic assignment and GHG models) developed for Montreal, Quebec, Canada. A simultaneous equation model framework is implemented to investigate links between urban form, transit supply, sociodemographics, and travel GHGs, taking into account the issue of residential self-selection. The potential impacts of land use and transit supply strategies with emerging green technology scenarios are then compared with each other. Findings are consistent with the literature; built environment attributes are statistically significant (10% increase in density, transit accessibility, and land use mix results in 3.5%, 5.8%, and 2.5% GHG reductions, respectively), and the number of workers and retirees make important contributions to GHG emissions at the household level (102% increase from adding one worker and 51% decrease from adding one retiree). Also, if the current transit fleet were replaced with electric trains and hybrid buses, transit GHGs would decrease by 32%. If current trends persist in the private motor vehicle fleet, continued improvements in car fuel economy are estimated to reduce car GHGs 7% by 2020. The two most effective strategies for reducing regional and household GHGs appear to be to improve the fuel efficiency of the private motor vehicle fleet and to increase transit accessibility.

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