1348. A Novel Host-Protein Signature Comprising TRAIL, IP-10 and CRP Differentiates Bacterial from Viral Infection in COPD Patients with Suspected Lower Respiratory Tract Infection

Abstract

BackgroundIdentifying infectious etiology is often challenging, yet essential for patient management, including antibiotic use. Studies have shown that a host signature comprising TNF-related apoptosis induced ligand (TRAIL), interferon gamma induced protein-10 (IP-10) and C-reactive protein (CRP) accurately differentiates bacterial from viral infection with negative predictive value >98%. Performance data was lacking in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients with suspected lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI).MethodsAdults aged >18 years with suspected LRTI were prospectively recruited at 3 medical centers (OBSERVER; grant #684589; NCT003011515). Reference standard infection etiology was adjudicated by 3 independent experts based on clinical, laboratory, microbiological, radiological and follow-up data. Host signature generates a bacterial likelihood score (0-100), providing three results: viral (0-35), equivocal (35-65) and bacterial (65-100). Experts were blinded to the signature result.ResultsOut of 583 adults recruited with suspected LRTI, 422 met infectious criteria, of whom 48 had a recorded history of COPD. 19 cases were adjudicated by the experts as bacterial, 14 as viral and 15 were indeterminate (Figure 1). The mean age was 68.2 years (standard deviation 12.3); 33 (68.8%) presented after two or more days of symptoms and 38 (79.2%) were hospitalized for a median of 6 days. 15 (31.2%) were female. For the patients adjudicated bacterial or viral labels (n=33), the discharge diagnoses were: COPD exacerbation, 12 cases (36.4%); pneumonia, 12 cases (36.4%) (3.0%); acute bronchitis, 2 cases (6.1%); upper RTI ,1 case; unspecified viral infection 1 case (3.0%); or other, 5 cases (15.2%). Host signature correctly classified all 19 bacterial cases and 8 of the viral cases, providing accurate etiology labels for 27/33 COPD patients with reference standard labels (81.8%). The remaining 6 viral cases received equivocal scores (18.2%).COPD patient enrollment and etiology labels in the Observer study ConclusionHost signature accurately differentiates between bacterial and viral infections in patients with COPD history, supporting potential to improve management among these patients frequently admitted for RTIs.Disclosures Michal Stein, MeMed (Employee) Meital Paz, MD, MeMed (Employee) Tanya Gottlieb, PhD, MeMed (Employee, Shareholder) Eran Barash, MA, MeMed (Employee) Roy Navon, MSc, MeMed (Employee, Shareholder) Einat Moscoviz, BSc+ MBA, MeMed (Employee) Tahel Ilan Ber, MD, MeMed (Employee, Shareholder) Liran Shani, MD, MeMed (Employee) Olga Boico, PhD, MeMed (Employee) Einav Simon, PhD, MeMed (Employee, Shareholder) Noa Avni, PhD, MeMed (Employee) Kfir Oved, MD, PhD, MeMed (Board Member, Employee, Shareholder) Eran Eden, PhD, MeMed (Board Member, Employee, Shareholder)