Роль банківського кредитування у розвитку економіки України

Abstract

The purpose of the article is to analyze the situation with bank lending to the real sector and its impact on the development of Ukraine’s economy. In order to effect this purpose, the following tasks have been fulfilled: to analyze the dynamics of the total bank lending to the real sector, to analyze the structure of bank lending to non-financial corporations by loan terms and by currency; to determine the volume of loans granted to non-financial corporations in order to buy, build and reconstruct real estate property. To carry out in-depth assessment of the impact made by bank lending to the real sector on economic development, a correlation and regression analysis has been made, revealing that the increase in bank lending to non-financial corporations leads to the growth of the GDP, industrial output (in goods and services), exports, capital investment and average monthly salary and wages. It also reduces the amount of man-power employed, which may serve as the evidence of production intensification and automation caused by using loan proceeds. The polynomial function most appropriately describes the relationship between the volume of bank lending to non-financial corporations and GDP, exports and employment in 2005-2019, and the exponential function most adequately describes the relationship between the volume of bank lending to non-financial corporations and capital investment and the average monthly salary and wages.