Податкові надходження в доходах місцевих бюджетів України та їх фіскальний потенціал

Abstract

The aim of the article is to analyze the dynamics of tax revenues of local budgets in Ukraine for the period from 2018 to 2023 and to study their structure and share in the total revenues of local budgets, the consolidated budget and the country’s GDP to identify their fiscal potential and influencing factors. Analyzing the dynamics of tax revenues of local budgets from 2018 to 2023, it is worth noting the overall growth of these revenues during the mentioned period. However, the ongoing war that began in 2022 and other external factors have significantly affected this dynamic, leading to fluctuations. The article examines not only the general dynamics of tax revenues, but also their structure, distribution by main components and their relation to the total revenues of local and consolidated budgets, as well as a percentage of GDP. The share of tax revenues in total local budget revenues in Ukraine has undergone significant changes, increasing during the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in 2022, but slightly decreasing in 2023. The share of these revenues in total consolidated budget revenues also decreased in 2022 and 2023, indicating the impact of economic instability and war. The share of local tax revenues in GDP increased in 2022 and 2023, reflecting the increased role of local taxes in financing and adapting to new economic conditions. The dynamics and structure of local taxes and fees, as well as their contribution to the tax revenues of local budgets, are also considered. Analysis of the dynamics of local taxes and fees shows a steady growth in 2019–2020, but a sharp decline in 2022 due to hostilities. However, in 2023, there is a positive trend along with growth, which indicates the stabilization and recovery of the economy. The structure of local taxes and fees is undergoing changes, in particular, there is an increase in the share of the single tax, which indicates a strategic rethinking of the taxation system to simplify and increase the efficiency of tax collection. The increase in the share of local taxes and fees in the tax revenues of local budgets testifies to their importance in the financial support of local authorities and their economic self-sufficiency and stability. In general, the analysis provides an opportunity to understand the economic situation in the regions of Ukraine and the impact of external and internal factors on financial processes in Ukraine. The results obtained can be useful for government agencies, economists and researchers interested in the financial stability and economic development of the regions of Ukraine.