Abstract
본 연구에서는 부동산 시장뿐만 아니라 우리 생활에 많은 비중을 차지하는 주택 가격에 영향을 미치는 거시경제변수에 대해 살펴보았다. 주택 전세가격에 영향을 미칠 것으로 파악되는 거시경제변수로는 가계대출금리, 가계예금총액, 취업자 수로 분석모형을 설정하였으며, 각 변수에 대한 시계열 자료를 활용하여 다중회귀분석을 실시하였다. 분석한 결과에 따르면, 주택 전세가격은 네 가지 거시경제변수 모두에 영향을 받으며 각각의 변수가 높아질수록 전세가격 또한 상승하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구결과를 통해 주택 전세가격 안정화를 위한 해결책을 모색하고, 효율적이고 지속 가능한 주택시장 정책을 수립할 수 있을 것이다. In this study, we investigated the macroeconomic variables that affect housing prices thus creating a large impact on people's lives as well as the real estate market. For the study, the macroeconomic variables able to influence the House Rental Price (housing price by lease or deposit) were used for an analysis as follows: housing sales price index, household loans rate, total household savings, the number of employees and a multiple regression analysis was performed using a time series for each macroeconomic variable. As a result of the analysis, the House Rental Price was affected by all of four macroeconomic variables. The House Rental Price increased as each variable enlarged. In conclusion, this study may be useful for finding a solution for stabilizing the House Rental Price as well as for the establishment of efficient and sustainable policies for the housing market.
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