УПРАВЛЕНИЕ НАДЕЖНОСТЬЮ И РИСКОМ В ХОЗЯЙСТВЕ АВТОМАТИКИ И ТЕЛЕМЕХАНИКИ

Abstract

the article is devoted to the research of dependability and risk management systems at JSCo “Russian Railways” taking into account the specifics in signaling and interlocking division. On this topic the author reviews the current regulatory framework (domestic and foreign), addressing to the problems of its harmonization and proper adaptation within the company. The state of affairs in automation of dependability and risk management processes is considered, which is implemented in several corporate automated systems: “AS URRAN”, “AS ANSh”, “EKP URRAN-Sh”, “AS ANPSh”, “EK ASUI FA”, “AS FA”. A comparative analysis of these systems made it possible to determine the main directions for their improvement in order to maintain the authenticity, relevance and importance of the information contained in them. Despite many ways to model events that may lead to a violation of the transportation process safety, the article discusses one of them: the creation of the tree structure of probable events that have a sequential connection with each other. The author believes that the application of this method in practice will allow to establish typical trends in the occurrence of such cases. It will have a positive impact on the quality of predictive analytics in the company and will improve the existing risk-based approach. In addition, a rethought way to determine and visually present the level of train delays risk caused by failures in signaling and interlocking division is proposed. The central place here is occupied by heat maps of risk and its components.